Camp Richardson | Lake Tahoe Forecast

Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025

Buenos días, my friends,

Cup'O'Joe in hand, #StokeLevelSolid at 8.32, on a #ScholasticSaturday. Sunrise: Cold, 37º at South Lake, 36º at TRK, 39º here at the #HippieHaus. Winds early calm: 225º (SSW) ~1 kt at CR, mid-lake buoy roughly 280º (W) ~1 kt.

Today:

  • Sunny and clear; warming day ahead.

  • High near 75ºF.

  • Winds: calm this morning, becoming north-northwest ~5 mph in the afternoon.

Looking forward to the next 3–7 days

Temperatures: Anticipate a warming trend. Daytime highs rising from mid-70s today and Sunday into the upper 70ºs / low 80ºs early next week. Overnight lows steady in the low 40ºs, maybe creeping toward mid-40ºs.

Wind Conditions: Prevailing winds are light. Calm in morning hours; afternoon breezes of 5 mph from northwest or southwest, depending on the day. No strong gusty events forecast through the weekend.

Rain & Thunderstorm Outlook: There's a low chance (~15-25%) of showers or thunderstorms returning Sunday, especially in northeastern CA / far northwest NV. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected through much of next week.

Snow Levels: N/A snow well above current terrain; no impacts expected at lake or valley elevations.

Lake Wind & Weather Advisories: No advisories are in effect. Calm lake surface, good boating forecast.

Weather Ahead | Temperatures | Winds | Lake Wind Advisories

Period High / Low Winds & Conditions Lake Notes

Today (Sat) ~ 75ºF / ~43ºF | Calm → N-NW ~5 mph PM; clear skies | Waves <1 ft; stable; water “cool”

Tonight ~ 43-46ºF | Light winds; clearing overnight | Lake calm

Sunday ~ 74ºF / ~41-42ºF | South → SW ~5 mph PM, mostly sunny | Excellent visibility; gentle winds

Mon–Tue ~ 78-81ºF / ~44-47ºF | Light SW or variable; warming pattern | Pleasant lake conditions

Watches / Warnings / Pressure Trends

  • Watches & Warnings: None.

  • Pressure Trends: The upper low that had anchored cooler, unsettled weather is retreating east. A shortwave ridge is building, bringing warming and drying.

Changes from Yesterday

  • Temperatures are warmer; high of around 75º today, compared to cooler days prior.

  • Reduced chance of storms (formerly more widespread, now more isolated and likely on Sunday).

  • Conditions clearer: sun returns, smoke less dominant.

  • Lake metrics: calm; no major shift in water or level data available from recent forecasts.

Summary: Today's the kind of lake day we've been waiting for: bright, warm, calm. Mornings stay crisp, afternoons comfortable. Sunday might toss a stray storm your way if moisture holds in NE corridors—but here at Tahoe, expect mostly blue. Into early next week, the heat builds gently.

Coop | RS#69

Chief of the Watch, Camp Richardson Marina

ECMWF AIFS 0.25º 6-hr Precip (in.), MSLP (hPa), 850mb Temp.(ºC)

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ECMWF AIFS 0.25º 500mb Height (dam) and Anomaly - 5 day

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ECMWF AIFS S [M] 0.25º 500mb Height (dam) and MSLP (HPa)

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NAM 12km Models Valid - September 13, 2025

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NAM 12km | Composite Precip Type & Cloud Cover

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NAM 3km | 12hr Precipitation (in)

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NAM 12km | 2m Temperatures - MAX (ºf)

NAM 3km | 80m Wind Speed + Streamlines (Knots)

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NAM 3km | 0/6km Wind Shear (Knots)

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NAM 3km | 925mb Wind (Kts) + Streamlines

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NAM 12km | K-Index (Thunderstorms)

ECMWF Seasonal [M] 0.75º Precip Anomaly (inches)

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